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Thursday, December 19, 2013

Week 16 Previews: Championship edition


This is it.  It’s week 16, and it means fantasy football championship. Down to two teams.


We have for the first time in PSAS history no top-seed in the fantasy Super Bowl, with forth-ranked Goslings, who defeated the top-ranked SanFranciscoFerries in week 15, squaring off against the sixth-seed Trichotillomaniacs, who narrowly escaped the second-ranked GrossmanSachs team the past weekend.  It was a very thrilling semi-final weekend, but both the underdogs came away victoriously to be showcased in week 16 in the championship game. 

Historically speaking, no four-seed has advanced to the finals before.  In fact, the only playoff win by a four-seed came back in 2009, when infant PelicanBrief squad topped the future TigerMountain squad (then-known as Discerning Nostrils, five-seed) in the first-round before losing in the second-round to the top-seeded Sunset Park Mastifs, since renamed the Trichotillomaniacs of the Far East.  That was the year of the dogs, as the Trichs-Mastifs were defeated in the final by the three-seed psych dog, which is the legendary team that the league reminisces now and currently referred to as the Primordial Forgotten Ones.  Three finals have featured (1)-(3) matches, with the top-seed emerging victorious in the past two seasons.  In 2010, a sixth-seed Vickskennel.com squad, the current HomeSpunNeckBloodz franchise, advanced to the final as the bottom seed lead by Tim Tebow with a regular-season record of 6-7 and defeated the then-top-seed Monique and the Phat Girlz.  The six-seeds have a historical record of 3-3 in the PSAS playoffs history thanks to the Vickskennel Cinderella win.  The four-seeds, on the other hand, have all been eliminated in the first round since the afore-mentioned Pelican squad, and have a 1-4 record in the PSAS playoffs.   Both of the first-round bye teams, the Ferries and the Bankerz, were one-and-done this year. 

Championship:
(4) the Goslings vs (6) Trichotillomaniacs

Two franchises upset the top-ranked teams in the semi-finals to reach this year’s final.  It looks like both franchises are shuffling things at the QB positions, defying the proven-fantasy-theory of riding-the-mule-that-brought-you-there.  The backfield match-ups look pretty set at least, featuring a heavy-weight match between LeSean-LeVeon and Gore-Gore II.  The Goslings may hold the edge, due to McCoy’s upside against pourous Chicago run-defense.  The Trichs may hold the sticks on the wide receiver and tight end positions, with Marshall-Allen-Decker-Boldin-Crabtree possibly all ranking ahead of the Birds receivers and Orange Julius generally ranked in the top-three among other experts.  Also, SNF and MNF matches between Chicago and Philly and ATL and 49ers will all feature significant players for both squads.  Therefore, the battle will be fought in stages, starting with the 1 o’clock games and ending on MNF.  The outcome will most likely come down to the wire, representing the unpredictable dramatic 2013 PSAS season.  The teams faced each other in the peak of playoffs chase in week 11.  The Goslings beat the Trichs handedly then to stay in the chase 113.98-85.79. 

Will the Trichs pluck enough down for a crown jacket

The Cinderella Goslings fended off the late charge by Pitta and the Ferries to squeak by the top-seeded team by a mere 2.61 pts.  Boasting a 9-1 record in the last ten games with a current seven-game winning streak, the last time the Birds were defeated was in week 9.  That’s early November, and it was very unlikely back then to imagine the Goslings in even the playoffs, not to mention the championship game.  But they are here, an impressive expansion team wading through the muddiest PSAS climate ever, despite only topping 120pts once (barely, 120.07 all the way back in week 1).  They average only 104.25pts compared to 121.24 pts by the Trichs, but one thing the Geese know how to do is get that W at the end of the week.  Last week against the regular-season champ Ferries, they once-again had only two players barely reach fifteen points yet still came away with a victory, thanks to a TD each by Nelson and Bell and a mistake-free game by Luck.  Shady McCoy was rather contained, considering the Eagles facing Minnesota defense.  He’s due for a bounce-back for sure, with the Bears in town on SNF showdown.  The team’s Super Bowl reign may be handed here to Kirk Cousins, which is sort of a scary thing for the final, but his matchup against miserable Dallas defense is theoretically very tasty.  St. Louis defense is rather solid at home and welcomes Glennon and Tampa Bay that’s fairly mistake-prone, and the Birds do have Robert Mathis and his time-travelling ability.  The key here is probably production out of Nelson-White-Hartline receiving corps plus TE Miller, none of whom is a top-tier option but all capable of getting to the endzone.  Despite having the lower seed, the Goslings are probably Yahoo projection and Vegas underdogs coming in, just as it seems they’ve always been this season.  If McCoy/Bell and one or two of the receivers can have monster-games and Cousins can have a big game as advertised, the Baby Birds have a solid chance against the favorite Trichs. 

PSAS’s Far East franchise is back in the championship game after a three-season hiatus.  In the semi final see-saw game against the bankerz, the Hairpullers managed to get by with a mere 2.07pts margin, winning with a score of 144.79-142.72.  Zac Stacy led the charge with 21.90 pts, while re-instated Kaepernick tossed for 20.82 pts.  Receivers Allen and Marshall, kicker Dawson, and Carolina D all went over 15pts to help the Pullers edge past the Godbankz.  Notably absent from solid performances all around were Denver receivers Decker and Julius Thomas, both of whom are due for a solid Peyton bounce-back beneficiary.  Frank Gore didn’t get in the endzone, but looked pretty solid last week and, if it wasn’t for the special team TD by Hunter in the fourth quarter he would have received the time-eating carries in the lead (the TD put the game beyond reach and subsequently LeMichael James was inserted as the spell-lead back).  The save-for-actual-playoffs-move may happen for Gore again this week if the game becomes a blow-out, which is the only downside to his tasty match-up against Atlanta defense.  With Kap, Cutler and Dalton on the roster, the General seems undecided this week at this point as to whom to send in behind the Center.  The good news for the General is that they all have decent matchups, with Kap throwing against ATL, Cutler against Philly and Dalton against the Vikes.  Cutler holds the titration edge, with Marshall locked in as the number-one receiver, while Kap’s matchup at home on MNF against not-so-Hot-lanta’s defense is also hard to pass on.  Whomever the general sends in to the field this weekend will likely have a solid game.  The actual weak-link of the roster is probably the solid Carolina defense, who welcomes the Saints offense that held this formidable unit to a mere 1.00pt two weeks ago at the Superdome.  The General actually picked up Detroit defense minutes after seemingly securing the win on Sunday, and their favorable matchup against INT-throwing Eli and the Giants offense may be in for a spell.  With situations in QB and DST positions, will the General stick with the horses that brought him here, or will late-post-season pickups bring him the first PSAS crown?  That is the million-dollar question. 

-TRIX -2.5

Consolation:
3rd place game
(1) SanFranciscoFerries vs (2) GrossmanSachs

The regular season’s top two teams lost their respectable 2013 playoffs debut with a combined 4.68 pts.  Both franchises are probably pretty down after missing getting to the championship by a hair, and this third-place game is pretty anti-climactic as a finish to two great seasons these teams had in 2013.  The projection is fairly even and these teams are pretty well-matched, with the bankerz holding the edge in QB and receivers, while the Ferries strength all year has been their backfield.  The loss of Gronk for the Ferries, who went 2-5 overall in his absence this season, means the tight end battle between Gates and Pitta are fairly even.  Expect a honorable match in which the Ferries look to get ahead first while the bankerz try to catch up with Jeffery in SNF and S-Jax in MNF. 

-GS even
Fight for honor


7th place game
(7) TakingTigerMountain vs (8) Tusken Raiders
Unlike their counter-parts in the championship tournament, the first-round byes of the consolation tourney took care of business in week15 to secure their spot in “the Other” Super Bowl.  Of course if the morning dew had dropped on another leaf either of these teams could have been in the real thing, but that’s hypothetical speaking.  The projection (with TE adjustment) is fairly even, especially considering Charles is ONLY given slightly less than twenty points running against Indy.  Save for SF defense in MNF, the Mountain players will all be done in the afternoon, while the Sand People have Foles throwing in SNF.  Unless the Raiders build a substantial lead at the end of SNF, the Niner D against ATL can clinch it for TTM with a strong showing on MNF against a vulnerable offense. 

-TTM -2.5

9th place game
(9) ThePelicanBrief vs (10) AEthernauts
The AI in charge of the Legal Thrillers may have left the building already with a pretty lady, keeping concussed Welker in charge of the lineup.  So save for major hiccups by a solid lineup of the Space Travelers, the 10th seed will officially finish as the 9th-placed team.  Not to mention that they’ll be in the single-digit, finishing in the odds in the playoffs generally mean that the team finished with a good note in a win.  That’s something to build on for 2014.

-Nauts -8

Bye-standers
5th place: Polk High Panthers
Al Bundy’s squad defeated Monique’s girlz handedly in week 15 to claim the fifth spot.  They end the 2013 on a good note.  The quest for Millie’s college fund will continue next year.

6th place: Phat Girlz
The fat lady has left the building, keeping injured players on the line-up in their 2013 finale.  Their thrilling ways were envy of the league this year.  The queenz will surely be back in the PSAS spotlights in 2014.

11th place: BldgDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng
Romo and Dez are still at it deep, and the Chico Boyz secured the 11th spot with a convincing win over the Mustard Yellow.  Some of the many titrations backfired this year, but the Philosophers will be back in form again next season.

12th place: Dijonnaise All-Stars
The inaugural season for Colonel Mustard began with an unlikely first-place two-game winning streak, but was up and down for the rest of the year.  With one full PSAS season under the belt, the Grey Poupons will be more fearless next year.

13th place: HomeSpunNeckBloodz
Technically, the Bloodz and Stylez didn’t get to play a game to decide the thirteenth place finish, but we all know who we’ll give that less dishonorable award to.  HSNB started the season 3-0, including a win over eventual-top-seed Ferries in week 2, but went the next ten games 1-9.  Probably the season couldn’t end soon enough for the Bloodz and mercifully they were exempt for the post-season misery.  The nametag may call the team differently (#bringbackVickskennel.com?  TimTebow15Tribute?), but this proud franchise will resurrect in 2014. 

14th place: Pr1m0rd14lLyfestylzâ
Sadly, this is the last time this year to satire against the franchise so disgracefully fallen in 2013 to go winless.  The last time to slightly be annoyed by the lack of conversion of the registered-trademark sign from the iPad to Blogspot.  Last time to secretly pray for the reappearance of a shooting star.  Let’s hope, this is not F.O.R.E.V.E.R.


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