Week 4 Stock Market

We are already in the 2nd quarter of 2014 PSAS season.  Week 4 marks the arrival of dreaded bye weeks, with six teams getting the early break to the season.  NFL teams that are off this week are Denver, Seattle, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Arizona, and Saint Louis, all of which feature fantasy starters for many of PSAS franchises. 

The waiver market has had 200 bbz pumped in through public funds.  That's an average of 5.7% weekly gain and an inflation rate of.  Of course, the wealth is not spread equally, and in the last two weeks we saw stock market winners winning bids in waiver auctions.  One thing still true is that you lose if you don't participate through inflation.  

The payout schedule for each 5 bankerbitez bet is as following.

                                      Blue Chip     Market Performer     Junk
Blue Chip (#1-4*)                  5                      3                          2
Market Performer (#5-8*)     10                     5                          3
Junk (#9-12*)                        15                     10                        5

*Based on weekly Power Rankingz.  In case of a tied rank, commissioner's ruling will be published here. 

First Overall Pick QB Bowl
(1) Phat Girlz (5 bb) vs (4) San Francisco Ferries (5 bb)

Monique and the Girlz are atop the rankingz following a convincing win that let's them represent a Japanese automaker for the week.  The Girlz are scoring consistently over 116 pts mostly due to a monster year Luck is having with various parts coming through to support each week.  Not much is taken away from the entourage in the first week of this bye season, but injuries to Hilton and Decker is a concern.  Maybe Monique will employ Tennessee's RBBC onto her starting lineup, and soon we'll see the entire Titans on her roster.  As for the Ferries, it's the third time in four weeks that the Bay Area Boatmen face a top-ranked opponent.   Last week against a non-top-ranked Pelican, they mistitrated a bit and had to sweat it out.  The QB and WR positions have been hard to get right week-in and week-out, but Wilson and Co. on bye make the decision easier for this one and Stafford will take the rein.  While Bell has been a typical Pittsburgh workhorse, Lacy hasn't cracked double digits yet this year.  At least Reggie Bush came through and it's good to get production out of him while he's still standing.  Better odds could have made this an easy upsetter's choice, but the ranking godz aren't buying.  Even odds here favor the Phatties.

Fatherhood Bowl sponsored by Pampers
(2) TakingTigerMountain (3 bb) vs (8) Polk High Panthers (10 bb)

TigerMountain came out of last week's Brees-Manning Bowl standing, though it was a close one.  While Brees-Graham were rather ordinary for their standard, Antonio Brown's performance against Carolina D may have punched his ticket into the elite weekly-must-start fantasy receiver category.  Meanwhile, their RBs are going down like flies swatted by a tree branch ever since the AP switch incident.  At least the bankerbitez earned through the market landed them Asiata, but relying on Minnesota offense is not a preferable situation.  Combined with Sproles and Vereen, TTM ground game is a lot dependent on support from aerial attacks and doesn't scare their opponents physically.  As for Bundy's Team, things aren't going in reverse for the time being, understandably with arrival of their second child coinciding with the PSAS season.  Once formidable WR corps are looking rather average, when waiver-pick-upper Hopkins lead the crew in points.  The good news here is that Charles look like he's close to returning.  Nonetheless, aside from two children to care to, carrying three QBs and two team defenses is going to be tough through the bye weeks.  Saints march to Dallas where Texas Shootout is the brew, so tough to pick the upset against TTM.  Another ranking godz tease.

Streak Bowl
(3) AEthernauts (3 bb) vs (7) Trichotillomaniacs (10 bb)

Two teams prepared for bye weeks with their depth will face each other, though the early season has gone completely opposite ways for them.  While both franchises have starters taking an early rest (Stacy, West and Sanders for Nauts, Floyd and Julius for the Trix), both teams have deep benches to compensate.  Last week's win over BDT put the Nauts in the upper echelon of the early season, but it was rather unconvincing.  While ground game was solidly led by DeMarco and Stacy in that wild St. Loise-Dallas game, Big Sky chased Gates' huge production against Seattle the previous week and got nothing out of him.  It was hurtful because Marty B on bench scored two TDs.  With bye week keeping key RBs on the bench, Nauts look set to go two TE set or counter-titration WR Matthews at flex this week.  Production in the bench (almost 70 points last week) hasn't really helped the Hairpullers so far either, but bye week means less chance of missed titration for a team as deep as the them.  Last week's loss to Shock exposed the vulnerability of this team when Shady McCoy lays a goose.  McCoy wasn't concussed after all but the issue may be at Philly's offensive line, which in the end is a much bigger obstacle to Shady's performance and the Trix's season.  With Julius on bye, Trix need Shady, and Trix need a win.  Although it's a match between loss-less and win-less, the prediction is fairly even and the odds favor the upsetters. 

Josh Gordon Stash Bowl prezented by Your Local Ford Dealer
(5) BuildingDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng (5 bb) vs (6) The Old Future (5 bb)

These teams knocking on the doors of blue-chip performers will fight to knock each-other out.  In their loss, BDT's Dallas x2Titr8x showed life but there was not much else.  Several of hand-cuff RBs flashed promises, but endzone was hard to come by for the German Philosophers.  They landed DeAngelo rather inexpensively, and following injuries to both Stewart and Tolbert, this injured-one may be that back that was needed in Chico as Williams is suddenly the only running option for Ron Rivera with Cam's ribs and ankles gingerly cared for.  The Future Boys almost pulled off an upset in week 3 over TTM but in the end it was one OT-TD-by-Peyton short of the feat.  Peyton have been solid but not spectacular, and he's on bye.  The Rookies are prepared as they have Ryan stashed to take the rein.  With almost all of their IDPs on bye in Week 4 and lacking one roster spot to fill them all, there may be a difficult decision coming up later this week to drop a productive offensive player from their roster.  Witten getting the start at TE will be a good counter-titration move against BDT for Future. 

Turnaround Bowl

(9) ThePelicanBrief (5 bb) vs (10) HomeSpunNeckBloodz (5 bb)

Two storied franchises haven't had the season to their likings so far, for sure.  Pelican have yet to crack 100 this season in three losses.  This despite Julio and Marshawn both having monster weeks of 30pts and 24pts respectively last week.  It looks finally time to bench Brady, so in comes Cousins whose signing last week may turn out to be the season saver for Pelican.  They still need one more RB after Woodhead went down and Lynch and Cunningham on bye.  Since the numbers don't add up here, the Grishamites clearly need to make a move.  Do we hear whispers of a trade with RB-rich rival BDT?  Bloodz split series with Dijon and maintained their side of Atlantic-Flatbush corridor.  Foles and Gio lead the hounds to victory, but now Gio and Ellington have to sit for bye.  Joique and Hyde will come to fill in, but both have limited upsides as part of RBBCs.  Brandon Marshall has been much of a headache for the Bloodz.  It'll be Foles that will have to carry this team on his shoulders to put them to .500 mark. 

Kickers Bowl
(11) Dijonnaise All-Stars (5 bb) vs (12) Shock_Pick (5 bb)

A rare face-off of the bottom two teams will interestingly not feature the two win-less teams of the league.  The ranking godz clearly don't care for the kicker(s) situations of these two teams.  Colonel Mustard couldn't conquer Downtown Brooklyn with total of four goose eggs laid in week 3.  Both Foster and White were game-time inactives, which, more than questionable roster allocations, is more disconcerting to the Colonel's cause.  At least, the first bye week isn't much of an impact on their roster.  Shock got screwed a bit in the rankingz when they didn't climb out of the bottom despite defeating the 2013 champs.  Apparently the godz saw it more as a freak accident than anything.  In Week 4, with injuries and bye to key players, Shock doesn't really have enough eligible players to fill up their starting lineup.  This will be the true test to Shock's autopilot that's been adept at last-minute savings.  Will the godz be convinced? 

Derivatives for Sale Are:

Celebrity Jeopardy: Future Win over BDT and Trix Win over Nauts (25 bb)

4-0: Girlz Win over SFF, TTM Win over PHP and Nauts Win over Trix (40 bb)

Following freebies comes with 5 bb or more spent in the market.
And Then There Were None:  SFF Win over Girlz, PHP Win over TTM, and Trix Win over Nauts (80 bb)

First Win: Trix Win over Nauts and Pelican Win over Bloodz (25 bb)


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