Week 10 Stock Market & Previewz

 

Week 10 usually means crunch time.  Previous week's upsets surprisingly didn't alter the league landscape much, except maybe there are now five elite teams (Girlz, Nauts, TTM, Dijon and BDT) vying for the top two first-round bye spots.  Up to five teams are battling for the last playoffs seat, among whom the Ferries at 5-4 clearly is the favorite, but four games remaining against TTM, BDT, Trix and Dijon make it a tough road for them to even go 2-2 to finish 7-6.  So the door is still open but the rest of the hopefuls are in just-win-out-and-hope-for-the-best mode. One thing the upsets did was put more liquidity into the thinning waiver market, which could see some volatility moving forward.  Another heavy dose of bye here with Houston, Indy, Minnesota, New England, San Diego and Washington all with multiple fantasy stars on break.

 

I'll admit, with circumstances this isn't my A-effort in writing the previewz, many comments aren't backed by research.  Just you know.  What you expect, I wasn't supposed to have any money left after going all-in for AP.  Anyhow, this is B-day week, so I'm forgiven.
 

 

The payout schedule for each 5 bankerbitez bet is as following.

                                      Blue Chip     Market Performer     Junk
Blue Chip (#1-4*)                  5                      3                          2
Market Performer (#5-8*)     10                     5                          3
Junk (#9-12*)                        15                     10                        5

*Based on weekly Power Rankingz.  In case of a tied rank, commissioner's ruling will be published here.

The Guide

-Bounce-Back Week
(t-1) Phat Girlz 7-2 (3 bb) vs (5) BuildingDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng 6-3 (10 bb)

The much anticipated Week 10 showdown on Luck-TY bye and BDT QB change will feature two teams on mini-losing skids at two drops in a row.  Neither teams can afford to make it three for first-round bye hopes.

"Just one of those days," sighed Monique, and true that.  Week 10 loss for the entourage saw no one other than Luck and TY crack 5 pts while Forte and Cobb were on bye.  Now it's Luck and TY's turn to sit.  While the returning studs will surely pick up where they left off, Ginger is no where to be seen on her bench and there aren't great options at QB in the market with injuries mounting at the position.  Tate's lack of production following offensive line injuries and the subsequent arrival of RBBC makes the once-attractive Cleveland backfield a potential doom.  Monique opened up her phat wallet and went after AP's supposedly near-return in a playoff-aimed move.  But meanwhile for the first time this season, Monique's breathing sounds heavier.

Romo's injury affected the Boyz heavily in Week 10 as low-balling spread from Dez through the roster.  Eli replacing Tony over Robert actually got some good garbage time points to be respectable, and Morris is a clear beneficiary of sharing the backfield with RGIII.  BDT's sentimental attachment to Romo was much less as he was cut loose in a personnel move.  Nelson needs to beat Cobb in TD reception to lift the Dwellers here.

Favorable odds for the Philosophic Ones.

-Rivalry-Week Rematch

(t-1) AEthernauts 7-2 (2 bb) vs (10) Shock_Pix® 3-6 (15 bb)

Nauts beat their Rivalry-Week match handily. 

Nauts got the W in Week 9, but it wasn't pretty.  Emanuel Sanders maxed the troops at 16 pts in an effort in which only Cam cracked double digits among the rest of the lineup.  The backfield has some concerns, with Romo-less Murray running into some walls and McKinnon thrice getting vultured by Asiata.  Now with Minnesota and New England on bye, they need immediate RB help but waiver options were limited this week, making some gaps in the Big Sky.  Nauts need bounce-back performances by Newton and DeMarco to avoid getting Shocked.

The Shockers were just several roster moves away from pulling off another one.  Harvin's move to Meadowlands is clearly benefiting the speedster and psychedog, and Hill will surely get the start this week with Gio still nursing in the infirmary.  There are some offensive gaps to fill come Sunday noon-time, but 2014's version of el mundo is a force to be reckoned with week-in and week-out.

Tempted to touch this upsetters chune.  Sweet like Beres Hammond.

-Rivalry-Week Rematch 2

(3) TakingTigerMountain 6-3 (3 bb) vs (6) SanFranciscoFerries 5-4 (10 bb)

Another rivalry-week rematch: this one with much playoffs implication.

Of the top teams, only TigerMoutain stood firm in Week 9.  Their beatdown of Phat Girlz with season's largest points margin was impressive from Thursday start to Sunday night finish, with all skills position players in the doubles while Sanu and Asiata b345ting on the bench.  WIth Ingram's return to form, Crescent City Connection is threefold now and the rest of the pieces are there with potent NE, Denver and Pitt offensive weapons lined up to fire upon will.  This team has turned the corner and looks built to capture that big phat trophy.  Who needs AP with a team like this now.

Odd-numbered week meant Ferries win, which they pulled off rather efficiently without cracking a hundred.  Odell Beckham Jr.'s emergence is a relief to the Boatmen while their other receivers are stalling.  They get their potent NFC North backfield Lacy and Bush back from bye, but it's Gronk's turn to sit plus Seattle's offensive struggle is affecting the QB numbers here.  We'll see if they turn to Stafford in a crucial game.  The Ferries can ill-afford to keep alternating win and loss, and this game against a 6-3 team is a near-must win if they want to make that playoffs aspiration secured.

Always like favorable odds, but betting against Antonio Brown and TTM is scary. 

-Housing Court

(4) Dijonnaise All-Stars 6-3 (2 bb) vs (t-11) Polk High Panthers 2-7 (15 bb)

The battle between former tenant and landlord have their status reversed here.

All season long, Dijon must have fielded trade offers for QB1 Rivers with stern No-s in anticipation for Week 9's A-Rodg bye.  One week Philip Rivers needed to perform, he gets a negative two, costing the Mustards sixth-straight win and the top-ranking rod.  That's Philip Rivers for you.  Just like Cutler.  Just like Romo.  Break down at crutch.  That's why Eli is Eli.  He's the two-time Superbowl MVP.  Ok, I digress, whatever it's B-day, I don't want to do much researching so just trying to fill the page here.  Besides, I'm tired of looking at Week 9 Dijon-Trix box score.  Back to Dijon, Mike Evans' breakout performance and Miller continuing to shine with the Fins were bright spots in the loss, and Foster gets a timely bye to heal whatever new ailment he got going so it's not all bad for Colonel getting A-Rodg and not-so-Hot-lanta pieces back.

Big Ben's two-week performance is historical, but what's more astonishing is Polk High actually started Roethlisberger on both occasions, the second of which landed them a much awaited W.  AJ got back and while not dominant found the endzone to snap Bundys out of league-worst seven game skid.  Now that Megatron is also due back, this team is positioned to a) go after Moral Victory and Consy prizes hard and; b) wreck havoc on top-tiered teams for the next two weeks with back-to-back matches against Dijon and Nauts.

Good thing I didn't lose all my money on AP, because this one looks tasty.  Oh I'm tempted to touch yet again.

-Talkers battle

(7) Trichotillomaniacs 3-6 (3 bb) vs (t-11) ThePelicanBrief 2-7 (10 bb)

Two of the unique PSAS franchises with whole system and culture that extend beyond the Yahoo frontpage and the Blogger blog face each other in the fifth dimension, third eye vision, whatever.

Trichs have had their back against the river for a while now, and the river front is moving forward.  In Maclin, they've finally got the WR1 that they've been waiting for.  WR2 production is still hard to get right, with Benjamin, Watkins, Floyd and D-Jax all consistently underproducing when given chance to start.  Shady's quietly picking things up, just lacking TDs which may or may not come now that Mark Sanchez is at the helm.  (Tell me, those that follow college football and especially Pac-10, wasn't Sanchez rated so much higher than Foles coming out?  I don't really know since I've been taking Saturdays off from football for awhile now).  Anyhow, in Denard Robinson, they've also got the RB2/Flex in case of Ahmad break-down (or bye which is this week).  General Far East likes to gain momentum here before facing rival Girlz in Week 11. 

Of all the upsets in Week 9, Pelican's over BDT, while discounting the rivalry aspect, was the most impressive.  Brady-B345tM0d3 tandem going for 55 pts and Seattle D regaining fantasy relevance gives moral boost to the Grishamites moving forward.  Week 10 is Brady bye, so Flacco will start in fill-in duty.  Week 10 bye is quietly hitting Pelican hard, making them scramble left to right in the waiver market like me picking beer at gas station walk-in cooler. 

Another good odds if you look at their records and no further.

-Elimination

(8) HomeSpunNeckBloodz 4-5 (3 bb)vs (9) The Old Future 3-6 (10 bb)

Two franchises on the wrong side of the fence are in knock-out battle that only one can emerge out of and keep hope.  The loser, please pack your knives and go.

Week 9's near-miss of an unset over Nauts was even more bitter as Bloodz lost Foles probably for the rest of the fantasy season.  There aren't great options left at QB (Alex Smith, Kyle Orton?), which doesn't help the Spinning Wheel as they lack points to back up getting another loss.  At least they get some NFC North tools returning from bye so they don't have to rely so heavily on the Giants, but it'll take some ingenuity to get the spinning going.

Old Future really needed that W in Week 9 not just for their own sake but for the rest of the bottom of the league's hope.  Now at six losses, the timewarps are truly backed against the wall.  There's probably some mathematical possibility, but it's a long-shot now for the rookies to get to the playoffs.  Last year, a long-shot rookie made playoffs and eventually lost in the championship after some crazy outcomes dictated things in the final weeks of regular season, so keep fighting.  As for the roster, beyond Peyton there's really not much to get excited about here.  They have a serviceable QB stashed on the bench and several teams with QB needs will be calling on them this week, though they aren't likely to get as high a value as earlier in the season for Matty Ice. 

Luck of draw has this evenly matched game giving another favorable odds.  Hey-hey-ho, what a week full of Lee Perries.

 

 

Derivatives

For Sale:

Celebrity Jeopardy: Trix win and Future win (20 bb)

Catz in A-10: TTM win and Trix win (15 bb)

Hot-lanta: Polk win and Future win (40 bb)

Freebies w/ purchase:

Chant Down Babylon: BDT win, SFF win and Polk win (40 bb)

Babylon O-ppression: Girlz win, Nauts win, TTM win, and Dijon win (30 bb)

Comment below for orders.