Wednesday, November 28, 2012
\/\/33k 13 P0\/\/3r R4/\/k1/\/gZ
As promised week 12 locked in five spots and both divisions, one spot still remains and four teams are in play for that. It's a testament to the level of play that 9/12 teams are at or over .500 going into the last game of the season. We've really beat up on each other, although only six teams will go to the dance, we've had great play across the board. Check out the tiebreakers for divisions & wildcards , if you have any questions about the specifics. So, far we've got four teams returning to the playoffs and one storming back (congrats Phat Girlz). If SFF can hold on we'll be 5/1 returning, if Dangles or Grossman snag that wildcard we'll be 4/2.
1.) BldgDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng (last week 1) 9-3
-The German Philosophers contemplated their fifth straight victory, a Milesian division title and a wide points lead for the top seed. Oh, and they set a new all-time PSAS points record at 167.8. That's a lot for one week. And there was a lot of action on BDT's squad as you would imagine. Facing Grossman with division and bye seeding on the line, BDT brought the wood with 4 20+s - none bigger than the double titration of Romo and Bryant. A spot start for St. Louis picked up a handy 24 and Arian continued his world-beating ways with 23. Andre Brown checked out for the year with a broken leg, giving BDT a little downgrade on depth. The Rams D isn't steady enough for week to week work, and the Giants made short work of the Clay-less Pack coming off their bye. So expect a wire defense upgrade going into the playoffs.
Next week -Tusken Raiders - BDT finishes up with the Sand People as heavy favorites. But, they'll take this one seriously or risk going into the postseason on a sour note. If Bush gets bell-cow carries for the Bears the Raiders could be triple-digit dangerous.
2.) TakingTigerMountain (last week 2) 9-3
The Mountain picked up their freebie from the Stylez, but got in a few numbers anyway. Two stories have to dominate the Eleatic leaders' headlines going into the playoffs. One is the guesswork surrounding Quarterback. TTM has shown an almost constitutional inability to pick correctly between Stafford and Luck. Now that Calvin and Matt are making beautiful music again, is the job his to lose? The other story is the ballad of MJD. After his holdout he seemed off to great season, but now there's a real question of whether he'll really make it back at all for the Tigers. With the Jags floundering and Jones-Drew thinking of his future, there can't be much incentive to push him. Still, securing the week 14 bye, at least lets the Mountain dream that he might be back in time to play flex in their semi-round battle.
Next week - AEthernauts - TTM gets the Nauts. Both squads are playoff bound, so this one is for post position. The Tigers need to hold court and gain big time points to have a shot at the #1 seed. The Nauts would need a win and help to pass the Bloodz and take over third.
3.) AEthernauts (Last week - 4) - 8-4
Getting hot at the right time the Aeros picked up a second straight victory, putting their two highest scores in the last two weeks. Just a fortnight ago the Nauts seemed like bubble candidates, but two impressive outings have them in the playoffs again. Again, it was big air games from Johnson & Johnson that kept the Nauts looking down on their opponents - the duo combined for 38.4. A handful of helpful TDs covered for mediocre production elsewhere. And Schaub was at least not Vick. With Aldon Smith coming into his own as a sack expert, the Nauts IDP production is one of their most formidable elements. MNF update, Bryce Brown, Mr. Can't Miss from K-State. He ate the Panther's line for breakfast and could be a huge flex upgrade if McCoy injury stretches to the fantasy playoffs.
Next week -TakingTigerMountain- AE gets the Mountain in week 13 to finish out. No doubt they're glad it's just for seeding, because some of their key producers have tough games lined up. The big variable is Brown versus a dinged Dallas inside line. For AE rise above they're going to need the Texans double-titration to light up the skies in the coming weeks.
4.) Phat Girlz (last week 5) 8-4
-The Girlz picked up a must-win versus the slowing Cyclotron in week 12. The Divas were far from pitch perfect, but the Bloodz were vulnerable this week. A big bounce back game from Eli has to provide them hope that the Giants can repeat their positive December of last year and carry the Girlz to a title. A tough match-up for the Saints kept the Phat Ones from going full b34st. And Lynchm0b couldn't get going against a tight Dolphins run defense. Houston's D has faltered for a second straight week, but a Titans match-up should improve their prospects.
Next week -Pr1m0rdi4lLyfestylz® - the Girlz can rest and hope for some help in seeding as a win over the Stylez will keep the pressure on. It's a nice break for the Girlz, who have to pin their upgrade hopes on R-burger returning to give their top receiver Wallace back his WR1 ranking.
5.) HomeSpunNeckBloodz (last week 3) 8-4
-Dropping the bolt can be a letdown, as the Bloodz proved losing their second straight. After a beastly run through the bye weeks, the Cyclotron has slowed with injuries and tough in-division games. The most worrisome occurance this week is Forte's ankle injury. The Bloodz will struggle to replace his production if he misses time, as benchwarmer Ingram is now a part of an increasingly crowded Saints backfield. Cutler's return was a welcome help for Marshall's status, which at least gives them two plausible receivers. If they can't get Harvin and Forte back for week 14. Manning and CJ?K may have to carry them through the dangerous wildcard round.
Next week -Cincinnati Dangles - dropping their chance at the protective bye the Bloodz will play for their own ranking and to keep a powerful competitor from the brackets. The Bloodz have a bunch of points so a win here should keep them in the 3 spot.
6.) SanFranciscoFerries (last week 7) 7-5
-The Ferries won their second straight and control their destiny going into week 13. Led by RGIII with 28, they picked up four double digits, for a good-enough effort. Martin continues to be the big mover on the ground for the Ferries, with seven straight weeks of double digit fantasy numbers. A surprise start by Knowshon left the Ferries holding the Hillman bag, but there wasn't quite enough on the other side of the board to force the issue. Beanie found the endzone twice on the bench, and should replace Hillman going forward, even though the Cards' offense is a bad proposition even on a good day. Between Shorts, Smith and Crabtree, SFF has three high-risk, high-reward WRs to man the flex.
Next week -GrossmanSachs - the Ferries get division rivals the Sachs with a win-and-you're-in scenario. This was just how we speculated it two weeks ago, and the Ferries couldn't hope for a better shot. Despite injuries to DJax, Willis and Murray, the Sachs are more than a match for the Ferries. They're actually very similar teams with high-end QB play, midrange RBs, three WR sets and traditional brand name defenses. All things being equal it could easily fall to kicking or IDP numbers here.
7.) Cincinnati Dangles (last week 6) 6-6
-The Dangles just can't quite get free of that unlucky label. They've got the second most points in the league, but they've lost 4 +100 campaigns. Cincinnati looked like a good bet to upset the Nauts, but they sputtered as Brees fell short of 20 and Cobb couldn't find the endzone in a tough Giants game. Atlanta's defense has been below the mark 4/5 weeks now, and didn't do them any favors here. Rodgers appears to be winning more touches from Turner, so there's a chance to mine flex value there.
Next week -HomeSpunNeckBloodz - The Dangley Ones will need a win and help from the Ferries to be playoff bound this week. The good news is that they're the points leader by a country mile among the four competitive teams. So, there's at least a clear path to envision. The bad news is that they're playing the #1 points scorer this year. Without Forte in the Bloodz line-up, the Dangles should be cautious favorites, but in a close game a counter-titration like Brees/Atlanta D could be a deal breaker. Atlanta went for just 2 pts in NOLA three weeks ago.
8.) GrossmanSachs (last week 7) 6-6
-The Sachs collapse this year has been the story of the second half. 6-3 following week 9, they go into week 12 6-6. They've been below 100 for three consecutive weeks. Unfortunately for them, other teams have stepped up and now they must scrap and hope for the final spot. Rodgers has seemed human the last two times out, but it's hard to see Minnesota executing the new anti-Pack strategy. Willis' loss is hard to compensate for and they're. Deangelo now has a starting role, even if he is a plodder, he could be good for a goal-line score. Fitzgerald's downgrade along with the Cards offensive woes, has to hurt the most. Since their week 2 trade the g0dbank was going to be a 3 WR team and missing one of the most talented league veterans is a big gap. If the g0dbank is going to pull off the miracle in week 13, Rodgers and the Chicago D will have to go full b34st and inspire some of the replacements.
Next week -SanFranciscoFerries - it would be ballsy for the Sachs to hold a spot for Murray on Sunday Night hoping that the Cowboy's injured lead back could return, but it's probably too risky with the season on the line. The Sachs need to win to knock the Ferries off post position, then they need the Dangles to lose to eliminate a potential tiebreaker loss on points. Both of those things are possible, so as rough as it's been the last three weeks, there's still time to save the g0dbank's season.
9.) ThePelicanBrief (last week 9) 6-6
-As strange as it sounds, the Brief isn't yet mathematically eliminated. Picking up some great Panther points on MNF made their road slightly more plausible. They'll need to see the same again from Cam, with the addition of a little double titration love with Steve Smith versus a pathetic KC pass defense. The missing piece here has to be FJax, who has gradually lost his job to Spiller over the course of the year. They're long shots, but with multiple plus match-ups, there's at least hope that the Grishamites can put up their best score of the season.
Next week -Trichotillomaniacs The Legal Thrillers need to win in week 13 and win big. Not only do they need the Ferries and Dangles to lose. They need to make up 37 points on the Sachs to overcome the tiebreak. So, they need the Sachs to win a low scorer, and go big over the Trichs to get on the right side of week 13. Any time you're qualifying the kinds of wins and losses you need it's not good news for your probabilities.
10.) Trichotillomaniacs (last week 10) 3-9
-Playing for pride the Trichs got dropped by the Ferries in week 12. Kaepernick again lead the Hair Pullers, and a nifty Knowshon pick up didn't make it off the bench, but should be useful next week and in the consolation. The Trichs actually had a pretty good game, but the promised double-titration between K-nick and V-Davis never materialized, a score there and Moreno at flex might have set the Trichs on a streak to finish the season.
Next week -ThePelicanBrief - there's a certain satisfaction to ending someone else's playoff ambitions when yours have already been snuffed. The Trichs can do just that in week 13 by taking out the Brief. They'll be minor dogs, but in the same room as the Thrillers.
T. 12.) Pr1m0rdi4lLyfestylz® (last week 11) 1-10
-Big City Bright Lights.
Next week -Phat Girlz - the Stylez will spread holiday joy to the Girlz, giving them a chance at a higher seed going into the playoffs.
T.12.) Tusken Raiders (last week 12) 1-10
-.The Raiders were in the conversation again, but lost on MNF to a Brief double titration special. With the Bush boys both starting they're legitimately dangerous in week 13.
Next week -BldgDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng- The Sand People could knock the top team out of their #1 seed with an upset. They'll be siginificant dogs, but they've been hunting that upset all season. This would be a dramatic time to pull it off.
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