Week 6 Stock Market

Girlz stand atop the standings and rankingz with an impressive season-opening five game winning streak.  Three teams (BDT, Nauts and TigerMtn) are right behind at 4-1.  Two teams are still itching to fill that W column with something.  Three 2-3 teams still have plenty of chance to get over .500 and crack the playoffs.  It's the unlikeliest of the 2-3 teams that challenge the throne this week.  Week 6 is a key week, and what a lineup of matches this week.  All top-tiered teams face the bottom feeders of the league, while market performers will knock each other out.  This is a crucial week for all franchises; top teams can't afford to lose to their lesser opponents, middle teams have to win to stay afloat, and the junks desperately need the win to salvage their seasons.  Such week creates crazy odds that favor those who gamble, and after last week's correction, don't be surprised if Public Funds Index this week goes up by three digits, which should help teams that scrambled to fill in injured players and those Chiefs and Saints on bye.

The payout schedule for each 5 bankerbitez bet is as following.

                                      Blue Chip     Market Performer     Junk
Blue Chip (#1-4*)                  5                      3                          2
Market Performer (#5-8*)     10                     5                          3
Junk (#9-12*)                        15                     10                        5

*Based on weekly Power Rankingz.  In case of a tied rank, commissioner's ruling will be published here.

-Who's Knocking
(1) Phat Girlz (2 bb) 5-0 vs (10) Shock_Pick 2-3 (15 bb)
It's another chance for psychedog to shock the world as the primordial ones face undefeated Girlz.

Towering alone atop the standings, Monique, Luck and Co. is clearly the team to beat and is a head above the rest of the league.  While Luck was ordinary in Week 5, there's always someone on this roster that has a big game.  It was Forte's turn this week.  Ben Tate's return to top form is a welcomed news for Monique when Tennessee ground game is starting to stall.  At the same time, Week 5 was also exposing; Girlz are vulnerable when Luck doesn't have a huge game.  Garçon's hair-pulling flex lowballing was an example of the lack of depth that this club has, which can be exploited with the return of bye bonanza.

Shock is back, and it's the buzz of PSAS.  True, there was still one IDP on IR in the lineup in Week 5 that continued the protesting trend.  But DT's 2014 breakout performance and solid weeks by perennial underrated Cutler plus Harvin's three TDs-taken-away give this franchise plenty to be excited about.  Rashad Jennings' injury comes just too early for Ryan Mathews' return, so we saw Shock opened up their wallet for the first time in a big way, landing them Oliver, Williams, Rainey, Witten and Storm.  Shockers look for realz.

The odds are essentially doubled for Shock with below-noted freebie plus they look to be serious now, so a rare chance for psychedog to collect dividends here.

-Motown-New Orleans Connection
(2) BuildingDW3LL1NGTh1nk1ng 4-1 (2 bb) vs (9) Polk High Panthers 1-4 (15 bb)
Two franchises heading for opposite directions face each other.  As Bundy visits Chico, New Orleans backfield on bye affects both teams splitting handoffs from Brees.

Currently, Boyz in Chico are arguably the second-hottest team in PSAS.  Romo-Dez express is as strong as ever, and Megatron's injury-concern is Golden's jackpot.  The concern here is the backfield.  Morris lowballed against Seattle D, Montee got injured, and Khiry is on bye in Week 6.  BDT will probably unleash McKinnon here, but that has it's own risk.  Dallas plays Seattle this week, which could limit the upside of the heart of this team.  If there's any week other than Dallas's bye, this may be the one that German Philosophers are particularly vulnerable.

Megatron's injury took away the chance for Al Bundy to snap the losing streak.  Detroit shutting Calvin down may eventually help Polk High, but the question is if the Panthers can stay afloat until fantasy's #1 WR gets healthy.  A couple of goose eggs laid by IDPs showcase how risky it is to carry defensive players with injury concerns, especially for struggling teams like Bundy's.  While it may only be a couple of points, that could be what determines the outcome of a game.  Untimely bye will keep both P. Thomas and Charles out, and the remaining RBs on the roster are DMC and Blount.  Unlike Shock, Bundy kept the string of his wallet tight and didn't get any of the available upgrades at the RB position, and now has to scrape the FAs to found replacements.

Boyz have their own backfield concern, but Bundy looks to be lacking canons to sink them.  Still there's the favorable odds.

-100 Bowl
(3) AEthernauts 4-1 (2 bb) vs (12) ThePelicanBrief 0-5 (15 bb)
A battle between these two storied franchises could come closer than their records and scoring averages indicate.

While Nauts got hiccuped by the Yellow Jackets in Week 5, they are the only team other than Girlz to score over 100 in each game this season.  Eli didn't connect with Cruz, and Big Sky has been chasing TE production by Marty B and Gates.  Still, this is DeMarco's team and he continues to sizzle.  Lesser Manning visits Philly this week, who's been surprisingly solid.  His production would be key to avoid another upsetter here. 

Pelican's season is in the blink of extinction before they can crack triple digit points.  LynchMob continues to bulldoze through tacklers and score points, and Julio's been as much of a WR1 as the Grishamites hoped for when they traded Charles to grab him.  But beyond that this roster is full of inconsistencies.  Brady joins this list, who scored over 20 on the bench in Week 5.  Keeper-Seattle D has pretty much being a non-factor, ranking 29th in fantasy points scored.  It's really been that kind of a year.

The odds are there.  Will you take it?

-Rasta Bowl
(4) TakingTigerMountain 4-1 (2 bb) vs (11) Trichotillomanics 0-5 (15 bb)
Daniel-San's Dojo tries to finish off the Hairpullers' season early in yet another match between Blue Chip and Junk.

Coming off a bitter first loss, TigerMtn faces dreaded New Orleans bye week.  This time, it may be a blessing in disguise, as Jimmy G gets two full weeks to recover from his recent shoulder injury.  In need of QB and TE fill-ins, it'll be interesting to see what they do with AP here.  As it turns out, we'll find out something about Peterson's trial date on Wednesday, which is a half-day too late for TTM to make a drastic move in the waiver-wire.  In Week 5 loss, TigerMtn left some points on the bench, which signals the difficulty of titrating this line-up that lacks set-and-forget options beyond QB and TE positions.  Week 6, in many ways, will be a test for Tiger Mountain despite a favorable schedule facing the winless Trix.

What more can we say more about the defending champs?  Beyond Kaepernick, Maclin, and Orange Julius, it's just too hard to predict where the production will come from week-in and week-out.  Shady is an unbenchable lowballer in the making, while Martin, Bradshaw and Ridley all come with their own baggage.  It's hard to pick between Floyd, Benjamin, Watkins and D-Jax at WR2/Flex.  Even the kicker is making only PATs.  With their back against the wall, this is a must-must win game for the Hairpullers.  Of course, one of Sun Tzu's famous strategy that was employed successfully in history is the one in which his troops took their position with the river on their back.  The positioning cut off the route of retreat for the troops, which made them fight for their lives and defeated a much larger enemy.  Obviously history often differs from fantasy, at least Trix face TTM at Brees-Graham bye.

Favorable odds plus TTM on NOLO bye makes this another intriguing upset pick, self-promotion or not.

-Beard Papa Bowl prezented by Norelco
(5) SanFranciscoFerries (5 bb) 3-2 vs (8) HomeSpunNeckBloodz 2-3 (5 bb)

Two storied market performers battle each other to climb up the ladder to the next level. 

Their Week 5 win over Polk High was a convincing one behind huge games by Wilson, Lacy and Gronk.  All three of them gave Ferries reasons to smile as they all proved something.  The result is a championship contender in the making.  The Boatmen are notoriously good through bye weeks and toward the crutch time, and this could be the team that the Blue Chips are fearing the most at this point.  As of Wednesday morning, the Ferries got a crowded bench full of WR2 and Flex options.  Tough decisions loom later in the week as they fill cut at least two of them to fill IDP positions, but not too much of a concern.  More is better, and IDPs are just interchangeable save for few elites. 

The Bloodz really had a chance against top-ranked Girlz but came up short in Week 5.  They miss titrated, chasing both Donnell and Smith Sr Hunter and Randle had solid production on the bench.  Such is life of a fantasy baller, as Bloodz very well know.  Foles is having something akin to Sophomore slump, and the author can relate to the frustration of believing the hype.  If the Philly QB can turn things around and Cyclotron can point toward the right titration, this is still a dangerous team with solid running (Gio-Ellington) and receiving (VJax-Marshall) duos.  Knocking out Frisco Kids on the berge of A-class will be a much needed statement for the Bloodz.  On the side note, we may finally see the one with girly name dropped, as Bloodz seek Team D fill-in for KC. 

Even odds make it easy to pick who you like.  I like ...

-Rookie-Sophomore Game
(6) The Old Future (5 bb) 2-3 vs (7) Dijonnaise All-Stars 3-2 (5 bb)
Dogfight battle between two franchises hoping for their first PSAS playoff appearances.

Futuristic Ones manhandled Trix in Week 5 easily.  After their Week 1 debacle, McFly Kids are averaging an impressive 119 points/game.  Peyton, Alshon and Gore's big games were buoyed by Julius Pepper's pic-6 (Serge can still play!) in Week 5.  True, Buffalo backfield of Spiller and Freddie is somewhat of a crap shoot, but with Frank the Tank's yet another emergence as a solid RB1 gives this team a pillar at RB position.  If the pillars can stay erect, the rookies have a good shot at making the top 6.

Quietly Colonel Mustard have put together a nice team that produced the highest scoring lineup of Week 5.  Colonel got two TDs each by Kendall, Foster and Olsen.  Even Steven Jackson got to the endzone.  Blowout win in Lambeau Field meant Rodgers didn't have to throw much, but from what he and Rivers showcased last week it's evident that Colonel has two QB1s on their roster.  Words on the street is that Colonel could be putting one on the market, presumably to get needed upgrades at WR and RB positions as he eyes making the playoffs in his sophomore year.  Several franchises are looking for bye week fills or upgrades at QB, so Colonel won't lack any suitors.

This is a tough even odds to predict as both teams are rolling with momentum.


Derivatives:
For Sale (5 bb each):

Babylon Oppression: Girlz win, BDT win, Nauts win and TTM win (30 bb) 

Return of Celebrity Jeopardy: Future win and Trix win (30 bb)

.500:  Future win and Bloodz win (20 bb)

Freebies (with 5 bb spent in market):
And Then There Were None First Win Combo: Shock win, Trix win and Pelican win (30 bb)
0-6: Pelican loss and Trix loss (10 bb)

Will the curse continue?

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