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Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Playoff Preview - Week 15




Last year's runner up, BDT averages 115.2 ppg with their high powered attack.  2010's runner up PG is up 2 points to 103.2 after a big win over the Nauts.

The Milesian champions and top seed German Philosophers got dealt a rough downgrade with Bryant's finger injury.  There's no replacing his upside, although cold comfort might benefit Witten a bit in the double titration game.  Dez' likely absence makes it even clearer what drove this 10 win engine all season long - the run game.  Rice and Foster are  #2 and #4 fantasy running backs and BDT's title hopes start and end with them.  That being said, they're both on likely playoff teams - and their use going forward could well slacken. The Texans have their division clinched and capable back-ups. And Rice suffered a "hip pointer" in week 14. With Dez out they'll likely go to Garcon and a WR3 choice between a home run hitter in Gordon and a possession receiver in Hartline.  It's hard to see BDT gambling with Jones or Britt, but they also have significant upside and radical week-to-week splits.  David Wilson looked like a late season star on Sunday afternoon, and with Bradshaw wearing down he could get a fantastic look in the next two weeks.  Is it enough to fill out the 3 RB set? Audible alert - if Cutler doesn't go there's a non-zero chance that BDT goes with Green Bay's D against Campbell.


Monique's club is fighting for their fantasy playoff lives and they've got a majority of their offense douing the same thing. Manning, Colston, Wallace, Lynch and Graham are all in the playoff hunt, but still need victories.  It's a potentially very beneficial arrangement for the Phat Ones, since resting stars on both ends of the spectrum begins to be a factor in week 15. The Girlz carry two potential WR1s into this semi game. Both Colston and Wallace have run into downgrades along the way this year, but either is capable of putting up game changing numbers this week.  Colston in particular should be a candidate to step up - he gets the last ranked TB pass defense.  Someone is going to light it up for NOLA in week 14 - the Girlz hope Marques shows up big.  Eli is likewise scuffling but should be in with both feet as the Giants NFC East lead slips.  The Girlz have gone with the 2 TE set of late, and gotten away with it.  But is a plus match-up for Ryan Matthews enough to elevate him from the bench?  After Houston got clobbered by the Pats it's natural to be a little gun-shy, but expect Watt & Co. to come out angry and sack-y on the Colts.   Monique has made a even keeled team this year (typified by their top three draft bids at $35), and you couldn't find a more contrasting match-up in BDT's high blue chip drafting wheeler dealer season.  

-Phat Girlz took the interdivision match in week 4 - 115.2-98.4 - Romo was eaten by Bears that week  

 
-Counter titrations - BDT will take Watt's piece of the H-town D back.  The Girlz will collect binders full of Avril from the the Lions D.

- Scheduling - BDT has Britt and the Girlz have a couple of Jet pieces, unlikely to see time and neither team has Eagles.  If Gersham gets a flex nod that will be a Thursday, but other than that this should get settled straight up on Sunday afternoon.

  -The last two champions  look to add to the Trophy case. The Bloodz average ppg shot up over 2 points to 117.8 after their week 14 b34st. The Mountain weighs in at 110.3. 

The Tigers have to be patting themselves on the back after a bye that saved their stripes without a doubt.  The official elevation of CJ Spiller finally came in Week 14 with FJax's season ender.  Now, we'll see if the any-which-way-but-loose back can handle a full workload.  Adrian Peterson continued his superlative dominance and has a shot at 2k - he's been +20 four out of the last five weeks.  He's driving TTM's offense to a greater extent than any single player on any of the other playoff teams.  Even a minor AP hiccup here, and the Mountain could become a molehill again.  The most popular soap opera on the Mountain (Who's the QB?) has reached it's cliffhanger moment - only 9 points separate Stafford and Luck, but their alternating good and bad days have stymied the Commish like no other.  Only 9 points separate the two young QBs on the fantasy year.  Stafford has a much more talented supporting cast, more passing yards, more passing TDs, fewer ints and fumbles.  Luck's numbers are comparable if slightly less, he's more creative with his feet, and seems to find a way to win. Stafford gets the Arizona team just obliterated by Seattle and Luck gets the Houston team that just took their second loss in embarrassing fashion courtesy of the Brady bunch. Pick one and hope for the best.  Demaryius came extremely cheap for a top 5 wideout but TTM doesn't have anybody else in the same zip code.  They'll likely be dependent on the crotchety ribs of Big Ben with Brown and Miller hoping for a return to early season dominance.  

The Bloodz were true to their top Dawg status with a +140 performance in week 14.  Seattle's once in a fantasy lifetime b34st not withstanding, there were some points left on the board for the Bloodz.  Manning was conservative versus a weak opponent.  Baltimore's pass defense should present more of a challenge. Although if he hits his big play man Thomas, he might as well not throw a TD at all for the Bloodz sake.  Manning is top 5 material for sure, but the Spinners could definitely use the multiple TD version this week.  Marshall and Forte will try to work in Lambeau tundra and stay viable.  It's a plus match-up that has trap written all over it.  If Campbell takes the helm for the Bears on Sunday, the offense could be either all these two or a whole lotta nothing all around.  CJ?k's regression will be tested against the Jets, if he can't move it here, he's done, and with him the Bloodz chances?  The huge variable for the Bloodz is Hernandez, if he can put up Gronk numbers like week 13, nobody will touch them.  If anybody could stop them the 9ers could.
 
 -HSNB thumped the mountain 158.00 - 107.60  in week 7. It was the Bloodz high score, Demaryius' bye and the week MJD checked out on his first run from scrimmage.  It was also the the week of the Bloodz Tampa mojo with Freeman and Vjax combining for 56.  Their opponent that week, why the Saints of course...

 -Hedges - the Tigers will take Peyton's big play target Thomas off his total.  Any scores/turn-overs by Spiller will be doubly valuable for the profiting team as he faces Seattle.   The Bloodz dropped Seattle and picked up the Jets D. So, hedge averted.

-Scheduling - This one will have a MNF component with CJ?K either trying to close the gap or run up the score against the Jets.  Conversely, TTM might get an early start with Maclin on Thursday.  They'll be Sunday evening stuff too with Hernandez and the Pats D.  A pretty spread.

  

 

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